posterior weight
likelihood
prior
mode inference
—
naive replay (if run)
—
KL(exact posterior ∥ mode)
—
KL(exact predictive ∥ mode)
—
Posterior predictive · QBar is the input
Horizontal position is probability p, not x. Tap/click anywhere: the current predictive inverse CDF turns that p into an observation x, then Bayes updates. Orange dots are past observations reprojected into the current predictive.